In the good old days, states used to hire and train spies to uncover high-level plans to subvert their countries. But things have been turned on their heads since then.
While the entire West declares, without proof but with conclusions of "highly likely" handed down by intel agencies that have lost the knack of gathering intel, that Russia and China have been guilty of numerous misdemeanours and crimes punishable by sanctions, the two countries have been literally broadcasting their intentions to bring down the US Empire since no later than 2009 and the Empire has simply refused to believe this open secret is useful intel. They have not only ceased to be intel gatherers and analysts, they have in fact ceased to be normal human beings with ordinary common sense. The name of the pathology is normalcy bias and Western think tanks have a terminal case of it. Now, nine years later, nothing has changed. Russia and China are working openly to challenge dollar hegemony and still, no one in the West is taking them seriously. After all, with Western intelligence agencies now being focused squarely on promulgating anti-Russia propaganda, ie, creatingly theories proving that Russia is indeed a dangerous adversary, they can hardly be expected to actually gather intelligence to find out what real intentions their real adversaries have for them.
In its latest discussion, the Centre for the National Interest seems to have arrived on the scene several – perhaps as many as 9 – years too late to a serious discussion of Sino-Russian ties and their implications for the US and its allies. The Centre’s Graham Allison and Dimitri Simes (the Centre’s president and CEO) concluded that the growing cooperation between China and Russia could “if left unchecked, have profoundly negative consequences.” The question of how the US might “check” this cooperation was left untouched.
As early as 2009, Global Research had reported on a meeting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) in Yekaterinburg whose organizers plainly stated their intention:
“The attendees have assured American diplomats that dismantling the US financial and military empire is not their aim. They simply want to discuss mutual aid – but in a way that has no role for the United States, NATO or the US dollar as a vehicle for trade. US diplomats may well ask what this really means, if not a move to make US hegemony obsolete. That is what a multipolar world means, after all.”
“A Council on Foreign Relations spokesman has said he hardly can imagine that Russia and China can overcome their geopolitical rivalry, suggesting that America can use the divide-and-conquer that Britain used so deftly for many centuries in fragmenting foreign opposition to its own empire.”
They simply assumed that China and Russia were bluffing, trying to scare Washington, the Fed, the Pentagon, Wall Street, US intel agencies.
Well, gee, duh, it was, of course, a move to make US hegemony obsolete, and as several NSS translations-cum-commentaries have shown, the Empire is teetering on the brink, with the CFR president brashly stating that the US “cannot defeat Russia” and with financial/economic experts predicting a drastic devaluation of the US dollar in the not-so-distant future. It is US analysts anxious to be able to say in the aftermath, “we tried to warn you” even though they had waited until it was too late.
More recently, in 2014, there was further open discussion of de-dollarization, in Russia and China and the organizations they founded, which excluded Western states. The facts included in the discussion made it clear that Russia intended at that time, to press on with de-dollarization. Yet, the author concludes that Putin will eventually back down and nothing will come of these efforts:
“Of course, even in the case of Russia’s Putin, it is premature to read much into his current defiance of the U.S. The Russian elite typically sends its fortune to be deposited in the vaults of the Western banks in currencies of the advanced capitalist world, notably the U.S. dollar. Putin’s “de-dollarization” therefore would sooner or later run into class opposition by the Russian corporate-financial oligarchy. How Putin copes with such opposition remains to be seen. But Putin’s Russia, for all its anti-American rhetoric, is no Soviet Union. And it would not surprise one in the least if Putin soon capitulates before the West, and calls a halt to the “de-dollarization” drive.”
Well, of course, Putin did no such thing over the next 4 years. The very next year, he was entering the war in Syria, and very shortly, had turned around the fortunes of the Syrians, whose armed forces had, by that very moment, faced annihilation by the “moderate” terrorists that the US had supported. And since then, the US has imposed countless sanctions on Russia and its allies for infractions of one kind or another, ie, “Russian aggression” that was nothing but a reaction to US aggression at the Maidan, consisting of a violent illegal coup that now in its advanced stages, threatens to destroy Ukraine economically if not militarily. Putin knows the difference between justice and injustice, and is adapted for self-preservation, and, in tandem with allies such as China, Europe, India and Iran, as well as part-time partners such as Turkey, has taken further steps to de-dollarize the world and create money transfer systems that bypass SWIFT.
Since then, China has persuaded numerous states to join it in its programs promoting and implementing currency swaps and trade settlement in yuan and other local currencies. It is now abundantly clear that, from the outset, since the meeting of the SCO in Yekaterinburg in 2009, Russia and China will persevere unperturbed toward the goal of dethroning King Dollar as The World Reserve currency and an end to the rivers of blood poured out by the Pentagon throughout the world.
Even Europe is on board with de-dollarization, as I had forecast in an analysis of July 2017.
The National Interest reports on the above mentioned discussion of the Centre for the National Interest at which participants Graham Allison and NI founder/CEO Dimitri Simes warn that “growing cooperation between China and Russia poses a major strategic challenge to the United States, which if left unchecked could have profoundly negative consequences.”
As in the past, and as expected, Simes, the intellectual leader of the group, concludes that not to worry because:
1—“…despite growing cooperation, the relationship still does not rise to the level of a de facto alliance, and an official alliance between the two powers is improbable.”
2--Beijing has rebuffed Moscow’s entreaties to take specific measures that would bolster the Russian economy against Western pressure, such as conducting financial transactions in local currency (so as to avoid the U.S. dollar).
Regarding no. 1 above, note the eerie similarity to the earlier predictions – all proven wrong – that Russia and allies would fail and the US and its entourage of vassals would prevail.
As for no. 2 above, Dimitry Simes, who made this statement, is not only wrong today, he has, like so many of his fellow Western think-tank colleagues, kept his head in the sand for all of these 9 years, overlooking the plainest, most unmistakable signs that there was no such thing as a significant China-Russia spat and that the Sino-Russian partnership was gradually materializing into a full-fledged de facto alliance of the kind he had said did not exist.
As one of many examples, a Chinese language article at finance.sina.com.cn plainly states
Gazprom Neft, a petroleum subsidiary of state-owned giant Gazprom, said recently that it has been using renminbi to settle oil exports to China delivered via the Eastern Siberia-Pacific oil pipeline since the beginning of 2015.
This is all the sadder since Dimitry was raised and educated in Russia and can – if he so chooses – read the Russian press including news reports and in-depth analyses of the kind we have shared with our readers in translation with keen commentaries. But like almost every US analyst, he perceives it as his mission to reassure his audience that all is well and that the Russians and Chinese will never get on well enough to make a dent in the US economy. But they have already dented it and are getting on famously. Xi Jinping famously called Putin his “best friend.”
And they are showing no signs of leaving off in their pursuit of a multipolar world.