This morning we learn that 2 ships were attacked, apparently with torpedoes, in the Gulf of Oman and the US military immediately stated that this was “highly likely” the work of the Iranians. Remember back when Sergey Skripal and his daughter Yulia were found poisoned on a part bench in Salisbury, England, that the immediate verdict of all Western intel services was that it was “highly likely” that Russia had poisoned these victims even though there was no evidence of Russian involvement. And recall that on the strength of this “highly likely” verdict, both the US and the EU slapped sanctions on Russia. So the moral of this story is, if you want to avoid punishment in the West, make sure your evil deed is absolutely provable and not just “highly likely” because otherwise you will pay the price.
By extension, then, Iran can expect to be targeted for a major war.
I had reported on May 18 that a high-ranking Israeli official had urged in March 2019 that the US needs to be enlisted to take part in a military operation against Iran alongside Israel. Major General Yaakov Amidror had written:
"Israel must enlist a reluctant US to take an active part in operations alongside it, and not only as a supportive observer from the sidelines.”
Now note the word “reluctant” because it is pregnant with meaning. After all, the sly Major General knows that the US people will not go quietly into another war on shaky pretexts. They are still stinging from the Gulf of Tonkin incident and the WMDs that no one could ever find. I am convinced that even back in March, Amidror knew that there were officials, like John Bolton, in the Trump administration who were anything but reluctant to go to war against Iran and were prepared to do whatever it took. He sneaked in the word “reluctant” to let everyone concerned know that the US absolutely does not want war but that it might just become absolutely necessary. This was cover for the news consumer who might read his article and think John Bolton was a war monger or something silly like that.
And that is precisely what Amidror has in mind:
“Israel is absolutely determined and prepared to act forcefully against Iran, which could lead to a full-scale war. Israel must win this struggle against Iran, one way or another.”
Oh, ok, American readers, a full-scale war led by the US but not to worry, they will engage only reluctantly and not because of an Israeli false flag attack on oil tankers in the Oman Gulf or anything like that. They’ll start the conflict based on a verdict of “highly likely” Iran did it and it is not at all likely it was a false flag to give Bolton and Israel cover for a war they wanted “one way or the other.” No, no. Perish the thought.
I was not the only one who had suspicions.
My partner at the German-language site Contra-Magazin wrote (my translation):
“Given that the neo-conservative hawks in Washington and Israel have long been waiting to finally launch a war against Iran, one may well ask themselves questions:
Why should Iran attack these two oil tankers and risk a military operation against them? Why not expect a "False Flag Attack" from CIA, Mossad & Co behind it? Who benefits most from such an attack? Will the Americans (as in Syria) bombard Iran with missiles without first waiting for an independent investigation? We have to wonder ...”
Award-winning journalist Stephen Lendman wrote:
“The Trump regime no doubt will blame Iran for what it surely had nothing to do with — likely increasing its “maximum pressure” on the country in the wake of the Gulf of Oman incident [sure enough, shortly after Lendman posted this, the regime did indeed blame Iran--Vince].
“It ups the stakes for possible war in a part of the world already devastated by US aggression.
“Is Iran next on its target list for greater greater war than? Do Trump regime hardliners intend making the region boil more than already?
“Given their rage to transform Iran into a US vassal state, anything is possible, even war on a nation able to hit back hard against US and Israeli targets if attacked.”
Iranian foreign minister Javad Zarif said “suspicious doesn’t even begin to describe what likely transpired this morning.”
I can think of a whole list of reasons why Iran did not perpetrate the attack:
1—Japanese president Shinzo Abe was in Teheran at the time of the attacks, discussing with Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei the possibility of talks mediated by Abe between Iran and other Gulf countries to ease tensions.
2—Iran is trying to keep a low profile with a view to getting out from under the sanctions. It very much wants to continue trading with the West. This would not be a good time to be causing trouble and provoking the West by torpedoing oil tankers.
3—A UK commentator reminded that the Iranian government is sometimes at loggerheads with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard and that the Guard could have perpetrated the attack unbeknownst to the government. However, that is highly unlikely because if the Guard were so reckless as to attack an oil tanker, it would almost certainly long ago have fired long-range missiles in its possession at Tel-Aviv in response to the frequent Israeli attacks on Iranian forces in Syria.
4—In another analysis I posted on the subject of false accusations against Iran, I quoted several sources showing that Israel is an old hand at the false-flag game and why the earlier attacks on oil tankers had all the earmarks of such attacks.
Now it is true that Iran has subs and torpedoes, including super-cavitating torpedoes capable of travelling several times the speed of ordinary torpedoes. The only thing Iran lacks in this current scenario is a motive.
But then Israel has even bigger subs with torpedoes that can take out an oil tanker. And Israel has a motive, generously disclosed to the world by Major General Yaakov Amidror as described above. In fact, Israel has been salivating over the possibility of making Iran look like an oil tanker killer, and John Bolton and pals has been salivating right along with them.
One of those pals is Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, who now says he is holding Iran accountable. Hurry and start that war, Mike, before they start investigating and find out Iran had nothing to do with the attacks! Better hurry and kill those babies before they grow up and pose a threat to Israel.