We’ve been reporting on the progress in the apparent lead-up to a potentially disastrous war with Iran. Various outlets are in agreement that such a war would be insane. In the following you will find our translation of the article entitled “A War with Iran Would be Insanity” from the popular German newspaper Die Welt, with commentary and notes [in brackets] by Vince Dhimos.
BTW, here’s a really solid reason not to believe that Iran is responsible for the different attacks on oil tankers in the Gulf region:
While it is being stated by the US government that these attacks are done in defiance of the US-imposed sanctions and embargoes, and while some seem to think they are being deliberately open about their schemes, we need to recall that Iran has been denying any involvement. Now if Iran wants to openly defy the US, it is not going to hide its tracks or deny its involvement. Yet it does, quite vehemently, and I’d say, convincingly.
Besides, Javad Zarif said exactly what I was thinking when I heard that a Japanese tanker was attacked while Shinzo Abe was in talks with Ayatollah Khamenei, namely, “suspicious does not begin to describe what likely transpired this morning.” Yes, and I also read just this morning that the fact that one ship was Japanese (attacked to drag Japan into the war) would have required deep research because the vessel was not flagged Japanese).
And Pompeo insists that Iran perpetrated the attack to raise oil prices. But excuse me, Iran is under sanctions and can hardly sell its oil at any price, so that is pretty much nonsense.
Of course, you probably have read at this site the confession of Major General Yaakov Amidror, who bluntly said:
“Israel’s opposition to Iranian entrenchment in Syria and Lebanon is twofold: To prevent Iran from building a beachhead against Israel through its proxies on Israel’s borders, and to impede development of Iran’s nuclear and long-range missile capabilities. Israel is absolutely determined and prepared to act forcefully against Iran, which could lead to a full-scale war. Israel must win this struggle against Iran, one way or another.”
Now that in itself was a bombshell. Israel wants to go to war against Iran one way or another. So that means it would not shrink from a false-flag attack if that were the only way to win. But as blunt as that was, it was not the most shocking part of Amidror’s rant. He went for full disclosure, providing Pompeo, Bolton and Trump with a solid motive to attack Iran but also for normal people to suspect a false flag:
“Israel must enlist a reluctant US to take an active part in operations alongside it, and not only as a supportive observer from the sidelines.”
BTW, Israel has a history of "enlisting a reluctant US" to support its wars based on false flags, and I daresay the attacks on Saudi oil vessels have all the earmarks of such a false flag.
Some people complain of Russian influence on US elections. But they are ignoring the elephant in the room. America will never be free until AIPAC is banned completely or until it becomes illegal for them to influence US elections. They are the main reason for the threat of war against Iran and the pull-out from the Iran deal. They were also a very important reason why the US fought the disastrous and costly war on Iraq, which spawned ISIS.
A war with Iran would be insanity
By Hannes Stein
Washington is convinced that the attack in the Gulf of Oman was under instruction from Teheran. The US Central Command has made it clear that in the case of an attack "will fight back", says WELT reporter Steffen Schwarzkopf.
If the United States resorts to a war with Iran, this could lead to an even greater disaster than in 2003 in Iraq. Foreign Minister Mike Pompeo knows that too - but the situation may nevertheless escalate.
US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has quite clearly named a culprit: "It is the United States' assessment that the Islamic Republic of Iran is responsible for the attacks that have taken place in the Gulf of Oman today," he said in a press conference. [yesterday]
"This assessment is based on intelligence reports, the weapons used, the level of expertise needed to perform this operation, and the fact that no other group operating in that region has the resources or knowledge to act with such a high degree of sophistication.” But what does that mean? Will the United States now go to war against the "Islamic Republic of Iran"?
Everything is possible, but probably not yet. Let's start with the Iraq war of 2003. In that war, the United States did not have a UN mandate, but they had allies: Britain, Poland, Denmark, South Korea. The assumption that Saddam Hussein was working on new weapons of mass destruction, at least, was not insane. [The author does not mention it – because Europeans know it – that no country in Europe wants war with Iran. They are kindly disposed toward the country and are hoping for lucrative trading arrangements with it. Therefore, unlike in the Iraq war, the US will have fewer allies and may lose some that it had before. And the false flag attacks on oil tankers in the Gulf will not change their minds. General Amidror already kindly informed us they were coming.]
At first, that war seemed to be going well from an American point of view: Iraq had a population of just over 23 million, Saddam's regime was hated by everyone - Kurds, Shiites, and many Sunnis - and the Iraqi army was a ridiculous opponent that laid down its arms after a few weeks.
Iran is (as a glance at the map shows) about three times the size of Iraq. It has more than 81 million inhabitants. Its army is professional, highly motivated and has gained much combat experience in Yemen and Syria in recent years. In addition, terrorist organizations like Hezbollah [Hezbollah was once called a terrorist organization only by the US but under pressure from the US, Europe is now using the term] would assist the Iranian regime and not only carry out attacks in the Middle East. America has exactly two allies in this war: Israel and the Arab Gulf States. Domestically, a war with Iran would immediately lead to furious mass protests in all American cities; Congress - which according to the US Constitution has the sole right to declare war - would oppose the President.
Besides, it would be impossible to win a war on Iranian territory only with air strikes. So ground forces would have to invade. After the famous "surge" - the troop increase under General David Petraeus - 107,000 soldiers were stationed in Iraq. They managed with great difficulty to quell the civil war-like chaos in Iraq. But Iran, as I said, has four times as many inhabitants. And although the fundamentalist mullah regime is hated by the Iranian people, there is little to suggest that the Iranians would respond cheerfully to an American bombardment of their cities and their soldiers.
In other words, a war with Iran would be insanity. It would probably end up an even greater disaster than the ill-prepared Iraq war. It would probably mean the end of the Western alliance.