Since the false flag Douma “chemical weapon attack” and ensuing US missile attack on Syria on April 13, 2018, there has been speculation as to whether China might enter militarily on the side of Russia and Assad against the West and its militant collaborators in Syria. Certainly, Chinese intervention would change the whole equation of power in the region and provide a further insurance policy for the Syrian people. We need to recall, however, that so far, the Russians and the US/allies have been closely coordinating these attacks, with the Russians clearly tipping off the Syrians so they can provide cover and save lives. We might even speculate that the US knows it has been beaten badly in Syria and has secretly appealed to Russia to allow it to save face by launching an anaemic attack designed to look like shock and awe. This would be the best way out for both sides because it would satisfy the US people who expect Trump to make it look great, the Saudis who would see the US as doing its best to comply with the petrodollar agreement (see “Relevant References” below), the Israelis who want a “tough" as well as Assad, who would look like he repelled a US attack.
But if Russia and Assad were ever seriously threatened, would China have any reason to take the risk of aiding Assad militarily? Most Western analysts would be hard put to answer that question.
Very little is known about the meetings and agreements between China and Syria, presumably because neither side wants much fanfare over these, but there are important clues in the foreign-language press that are not being translated and published by Western news outlets (other than ours). The Arabic language site Syrian Expert, for example, reported in 2016 on a meeting in Syria of the Arab-Chinese Association, where the Syrian Minister of Industry mentioned numerous industrial areas that were eligible for Chinese investment. The head of the Chinese delegation said that Syria already had strong relations with 200 major Chinese companies and that agreements, memoranda of understanding and contract projects were already in place. This tells us that, while China has not announced major military ties with Syria, it has every reason to be concerned about its interests there and can probably be expected to defend them if push comes to shove. There are, for example, disputed industrial areas near the E. Ghouta site where the Russians and the SAA have already routed the militants. These areas would certainly be of interest to Chinese investors, who would want safe movement therein.
In July 2017, New Silk Strategies posted our three-part translation of a remarkably brazen Chinese-language article:
This article thoroughly details China’s plans for Syria, focused on a pipeline through Syria from Iran to Europe, crossing through Syria and Iraq. The author called this the Shiite pipeline, a counter-measure to a Western plan to run a pipeline from Qatar to Europe, referred to in that article as the Sunni pipeline. The author detailed the various existing agreements with Syria and specific Chinese goals in Syria, which the author boasted would make China the big winner there. The tone was, to say the least, uncharacteristic of the Confucian humility normally shown by Chinese officials in their public statements, indicating it was intended for domestic consumption. Significantly, the article was posted first at China’s main military site Junshi. But before we were able to complete the translation, it was removed from there and posted at a more-obscure site. No doubt the Chinese had had second thoughts about the possibility that the Western powers would relate this information to the Chinese military and tip the hand of the Pentagon.
Thus we know that China has big plans for Syria and it would not be surprising eventually to find Chinese military personnel in the country. Nonetheless, China is loath to tip its hand, so there are very few reports about Chinese intentions to send troops to fight alongside Assad.
The Middle East Monitor and other sources claimed in Nov 2017 that China has sent 2 units of special operations forces of the “Night Tigers” and the “Tigers of Siberia” to Syria, but this has been denied by Syria and also debunked variously.
However, it is likely that the Chinese would reconsider if at some point, the US were to seriously threaten their vital ally Russia.
In fact, we did find a Chinese-language report posted in 2016 at military.china.com regarding a visit by Chinese military top brass to Syria. While the basic details of this report were published in the Western msm, the historic background was ignored by the Western journalists. Both Russia and China pay close attention to history, culture and international relations, items given short shrift in the West, which focuses on short-term goals and stands ready to betray a partner at any time for quick gain. This is one of the reasons why US foreign policy fails. Below is our translation (all highlighting is ours).
PLA delegation visits Syria: assistance and training for Syrian Army
August 17, 2016
Major General Guan Youfei, head of the PLA delegation
Xinhua News Agency, Damascus, August 15th (Reporter: Che Hongliang)
Lieutenant General Fahd Jassem al-Freij, Syria’s Deputy Prime Minister and Defense Minister met with Admiral Guan Youfei, the director of the International Military Cooperation Office of the Central Military Commission, who is visiting Syria on the afternoon of the 14th.
Fahd Jassem al-Freij said that China has thousands of years of history and civilization. Since 1978, the Chinese government has led the people in their struggles and made remarkable achievements in the fields of science, technology and military science. The friendship between Syria and China dates back to ancient times and both sides have maintained close coordination on international issues. Syria supports China’s position on the South China Sea issue and expresses its gratitude to the Chinese government and the army for their assistance to the Syrians. Syria is willing to work with China to promote the continuous development of relations between the two armed forces.
Guan Youfei said that this year marks the 60th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and Syria. Both sides have helped each other for a long time. China has always played an active role in resolving Syrian issue politically and has supported the maintenance of Syria’s independence and autonomy. The relations between the Chinese and Syrian armed forces are traditionally friendly. The Chinese military is willing to continue to strengthen exchanges and cooperation with the Syrian Army.
The two sides reached consensus on strengthening personnel training and providing Chinese military assistance to Syria.
On the morning of the 15th, Guan Youfei and Lieutenant General Chvarkov of the Russian Reconciliation Center for Syria exchanged views on issues of common concern in Damascus.
Reuters commented that China does not seem to be interested in military intervention in Syria, but that it praised Russia’s role in the Syrian war.
China has its own security concerns about the violence in this region.
Here is the underlying cause of all US-waged wars outside the Americas since 1973:
Making Saudi Arabia great again Part 1
Making Saudi Arabia great again Part 2
Making Saudi Arabia great again Part 3